Chris Padilla vs. Ismael Bonfim prediction, odds, pick for UFC Vegas 111

Chris Padilla vs. Ismael Bonfim Prediction and Odds for UFC Vegas 111

The lightweight bout between Ismael Bonfim and Chris Padilla is one of the key matchups at UFC Vegas 111. Ismael Bonfim (20-5) competes three fights before his younger brother headlines the event, continuing the Bonfim family presence in the UFC.

Fighter Backgrounds

Ismael Bonfim, 29, enters the fight with a 1-2 record in his last three bouts. His most recent loss was a first-round TKO to Nazim Sadykhov in February, which broke his momentum following a victory over Vinc Pichel in 2024. This defeat was significant as it was the first knockout loss in Bonfim's career.

Chris Padilla, 30, remains undefeated in the UFC with a 3-0 record. After a decade competing on the West Coast regional circuit, Padilla made his UFC debut on short notice at UFC Vegas 91, submitting James Llontop. Since then, he has secured a knockout win over Rongzhu and a decision victory against Jai Herbert.

UFC Vegas 111 Betting Odds

“Nobody expected Padilla to be this successful when he stepped up on short notice, yet here he is.”
“Padilla might not be the best fighter Bonfim has ever faced, but he will test his will from the jump.”

Padilla’s gritty style and undefeated UFC record pose a serious challenge for Bonfim, who is looking to bounce back from his recent knockout loss.

Summary

This bout highlights the resilience and contrasting career trajectories of Padilla and Bonfim, with Padilla aiming to extend his undefeated streak against a Bonfim eager to regain momentum.

Author's summary: Chris Padilla's undefeated UFC run and Bonfim's recent setback set the stage for a compelling lightweight clash at UFC Vegas 111.

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ClutchPoints ClutchPoints — 2025-11-07

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