The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has revised its estimates for Romania's economic growth to 1% for this year, down from 1.6% forecast in April and 3.3% indicated in October last year, according to the latest World Economic Outlook (WEO) report.
The forecast is more positive than the official 0.6% projection by the state forecasting body, CNP. The IMF expects gradual economic consolidation, with a growth rate of 3.3% in 2030.
However, the Fund expects sluggish fiscal consolidation, with Romania's general government budget dropping below 6% of GDP in 2026 from 8.2% in 2024, mainly due to lower expenditures.
The IMF expects moderate economic growth but sluggish fiscal consolidation in Romania.
Author's summary: IMF lowers Romania's economic growth forecast to 1%.